The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Pdf

The Black Swan:The Impact of the Highly Improbable Pdf

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Pdf

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Pdf

About the book:

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable book

Author:                        Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Publisher:                    Penguin

Publish date:               28 Feb. 2008

ISBN-10:                      0141034599

ISBN-13:                      9780141034591

Pages:                          394 eBook pages can be different

Language:                   English

Genres:                        Non-fiction

Review

The arrogance of the author is very hard to bear. This book contains many good ideas, including variable “fat tail” on the problems of predictability of extreme events and economic variables on psychological means of decision under risk and uncertainty …

Repeated valves of the French against are fun, the massacre against economists while confused with forecasters is much less. He did not seem aware of the well-known argument of economists that the prediction is useless to the individual but useful scale collective level (see theorems efficiency of financial markets).

As he advanced some interesting elements, it falls into the easy criticism that the loss of part of its substance to the book. This is all the more galling that the author sometimes very limited knowledge of the areas it addresses and the progress of research.

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